The rivalry between the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) and the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) over the deputy presidency spot is testing the strength of their political alliance ahead of the 2027 general election.

Initially formed as a governance partnership, the relationship between President William Ruto's UDA and Raila Odinga's ODM is evolving into a complex coalition negotiation. Both parties are keen on securing strategic positions for the upcoming polls.

ODM Demands Deputy President Slot

ODM leaders have openly stated that their continued support hinges on securing the deputy president position if UDA fields the presidential candidate. This marks a shift from ODM's previous role of supporting government through Cabinet appointments to demanding a direct stake in the nation's top leadership.

ODM Deputy Party Leader Simba Arati emphasized that any coalition must be based on equality, insisting that the deputy presidency be part of the negotiations. He noted that ODM would only forgo this demand if President Ruto contests the presidency under ODM or if Deputy President Kithure Kindiki leaves UDA to join ODM.

Significance of the Deputy Presidency

For ODM, holding the deputy presidency offers constitutional authority, political prominence, and a guaranteed role in governance. The party believes its political influence merits such a position, especially after Raila Odinga’s unsuccessful bid for the African Union Commission chairperson.

UDA’s Internal Calculations

UDA faces a delicate balancing act. Deputy President Kithure Kindiki, a close ally of President Ruto, plays a key role in consolidating support in the Mt Kenya region—a critical area for the president’s re-election. Replacing Kindiki could provoke unrest within UDA and among supporters who expect the party to retain control of both top offices.

Kindiki addressed ODM leaders on February 27, 2026, in Homa Bay County, assuring that the broad-based government is inclusive and has room for all communities. He urged against fear or suspicion, emphasizing unity and shared governance.

Political Implications

President Ruto must navigate the competing demands of retaining ODM’s backing while maintaining his core support base. The decision on the deputy presidency carries significant consequences for coalition stability and electoral alliances.

ODM’s firm stance signals a move toward more substantial power sharing rather than symbolic cooperation, positioning the party strongly for future coalition talks.

Looking Ahead

The dispute over the deputy president role highlights the fragile nature of the UDA-ODM partnership. The resolution of this issue will likely determine whether their alliance solidifies into a formal coalition or unravels before the 2027 elections, shaping Kenya’s political landscape in the process.